Queensland hosts New South Wales in the 2015 State of Origin decider tonight.
Game one was a dour affair at Sydney’s ANZ stadium, won by Queensland 11-10. New South Wales, facing a sudden-death encounter in Melbourne to keep the series alive, prevailed 26-18 in game two.
It’s set up to be an absolute blockbuster decider.
Will Queensland, playing at home with their myriad of proven match winners, take their ninth series in 10 years or will New South Wales go back-to-back for the first time since 2005?
At Business Insider we’ve crunched the numbers to see what history suggests will happen.
- There have been 104 state of origin matches played between the two states. Queensland has won 55 matches, New South Wales 47. Two games have been tied.
- Of the 33 three-match series played, Queensland has won on 18 occasions. New South Wales has won 13 times. 2 series have been drawn when there were tied matches in the series.
- The winner of game one has gone on to take the series 24 times. Only seven times has loser of game one come back to win the series.
- On 17 occasions the first two games of the series have been split between the teams. Eight times the winner of game one took the series, seven times it was the the team that won game two.
- In recent years the there have been significant series winning streaks from both teams. Between 2003 to 2005 New South Wales won three series in a row while Queensland, between 2006 to 2013, won eight series straight. The last time a winning streak was stopped at one was back in 2001.
- Game three will be played at Queensland’s Suncorp stadium, or for the rugby league purists, Lang Park.
- There have been 50 State of Origin games played at the the ground. Queensland have won 31 matches, New South Wales 18. One match has been tied.
- The ground has hosted the final game of the series on 21 occasions. Queensland has won 13 of these games and lost 8. New South Wales last won a series-deciding game three in 2005.
The Blues are up against it.
Will they be proven right or will New South Wales upset the apple cart? We’re likely to find out shortly before 10pm (AEST).
NOW WATCH: Briefing videos
Business Insider Emails & Alerts
Site highlights each day to your inbox.