Literally Every Strategist On Wall Street Has Been Wrong About The Stock Market


The S&P 500 started last week at 1,614, an all-time closing high at the time.  And it ended the week at 1,633, the current all-time closing high.

This is notable because at the beginning of the year, the most bullish strategist on Wall Street’s sell-side had a 2013 year-end target of 1,615 (See Citi’s Tobias Levkovich).

Since the beginning of the year, most of the strategists have scrambled to explain what went wrong and/or revise their forecasts.

Others have been steadfast, arguing that this just means stocks will eventually fall to their targets.

Regardless, any investor who formed a tactical 12-month investment strategy based on these targets has been forced to rethink things.

If there is an upside, anyone who invested based on one of the more bullish forecasts have come into the money much sooner than expected.

Here’s a round-up of Wall Street’s forecasts based on Business Insider’s tally effective January 5, 2013.

House      S&P 500 Target        EPS Wells Fargo 1,390 $103.00 UBS 1,425 $108.00 Morgan Stanley 1,434 $98.71 Deutsche Bank 1,500 $108.00 Barclays 1,525 $105.00 Credit Suisse 1,550 $104.90 HSBC 1,560 — Jefferies 1,565 $112.90 Goldman Sachs 1,575 $107.00 BMO Capital 1,575 $106.25 JP Morgan 1,580 $110.00 Oppenheimer 1,585 $108.00 BofA Merrill Lynch   1,600 $110.00 Citi 1,615 $108.00 AVERAGE 1,534 $106.90

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