A new poll of New Hampshire Republicans shows Mitt Romney (27%) maintaining his position as the front-runner. Donald Trump (21%) runs second. GOP national front-runner Mike Huckabee and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich (12%) run third.
The poll of 384 “likely Republican primary voters” was conducted by the Public Policy Institute of Raleigh, North Carolina. The poll carries an error margin of 5%, which is likely even larger due to the difficulty of assessing what percentage of Republicans and what percentage of Independents will combine to form the actual primary electorate. Independents could make up as much as 40% of the actual electorate.
Caveats aside, the poll will no doubt be seen as a boon to Mr. Trump’s presidential campaign, such as it is. With the United States involved in three wars in Muslim countries, running a staggering budget deficit, experiencing anemic economic growth, enmeshed in an ever-more decadent culture and facing the most difficult national security landscape since the 1930s, Mr. Trump has chosen to make the issue of President Obama’s birth certificate the centrepiece of his campaign.
This is but one of maybe 8324 reasons why most people who know Mr. Trump expect that, when it comes time to actually commit to the task of running for the GOP presidential nomination, he will not.