Trump fundamentally undermines NATO, says 'aggressive' Montenegro could attack Russia to start World War III

  • President Donald Trump on Tuesday expressed scepticism over the US’s commitment with NATO by singling Montenegro, its newest member.
  • Trump questioned whether the US would defend it in a conflict, as required by NATO’s founding treaty.
  • Trump suggested that the US was being abused by the military alliance.
  • Trump imagined a scenario in which Montenegro’s “aggressive people” could spark World War III with Russia.
  • His train of thought closely mirrors Russian anti-NATO messaging.

President Donald Trump returned to undermining NATO on Tuesday by singling out the alliance’s smallest and newest member, Montenegro, following a European tour that Republicans largely said misrepresented US values.

In an interview with the Fox News host Tucker Carlson on Tuesday, Trump was asked why the US should answer the call to defend Montenegro – which was admitted to NATO in 2017 – if it were attacked.

NATO members can invoke a mutual-defence clause in the event of an attack on their soil, obligating all other states in the 29-member alliance to come to their defence.

The clause, known as Article 5, has been invoked just once – by the US after the September 11, 2001, attacks.

“Let’s say Montenegro, which joined last year … why should my son go to Montenegro to defend it from attack?” Carlson asked Trump.

“I understand what you’re saying – I’ve asked the same question,” Trump said. “Montenegro is a tiny country with very strong people.”

Tucker quickly interjected by saying he was “not against Montenegro” and added that any country, such as Albania, could have been applied in his hypothetical scenario.

But Trump added another wrinkle to the scenario and suggested Montenegro’s “aggressive people” could spark a global conflict.

“By the way, they’re very strong people – they’re very aggressive people,” Trump said. “They may get aggressive. And congratulations, you’re in World War III.”

Suggesting Montenegro could start a world war through aggression because of NATO, however, misconstrues the way Article 5 works. If Montenegro, a country with just over 620,000 people, started a war with Russia, it could not invoke Article 5 and require US involvement because it would not be an attack on a NATO member but rather an attack from a NATO member.

Earlier this year, Montenegro reportedly pledged more troops to help fight the US-led war in Afghanistan. Before joining NATO, Montenegro assisted in Afghanistan’s reconstruction efforts for nearly eight years.

At the same time, Montenegro has indeed had tensions with Russia, with the small country experiencing what it has described as an attempt by Russian nationalists to kill its prime minister in 2016.

Describing NATO countries as “aggressive” for engaging in legitimate defence of their homeland is a hallmark of Russian messaging in its opposition against the alliance.

Trump attacks the cost of NATO

Trump’s comments echoed his previous assertion that NATO members were not contributing enough on domestic and joint defence spending.

Trump suggested that the US bore the short end of the stick. NATO members contribute to the organisation’s funding on an agreed cost-share formula based on their gross national income; the USsupplies 22% of that funding.

“It was very unfair. They weren’t paying,” Trump told Carlson, speaking more generally about other NATO members. “So not only are we paying for most of it, but they weren’t even paying and we’re protecting them. Add that to your little equation on Montenegro.”

During his summit last week with other NATO countries, Trump blasted the other alliance members and demanded that they increase their defence spending to “2% of GDP IMMEDIATELY.” A non-legally-binding guideline states that members should reach 2% by 2024.

Tensions also flared in the NATO summit after Trump accused Germany of being “totally controlled by Russia” for receiving a large share of its oil and natural gas from it.

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