One of the questions on the New York Fed’s Survey of Consumer Expectations asks respondents what they think inflation will look like in the near future.
The median consumer’s expected one-year ahead inflation rate has been on a mostly downward trend since the New York Fed began the survey in June 2013. In February, however, there was a spike upward in this measure: The median consumer expected an inflation rate of 2.71% over the next year.
In March, however, respondents’ views of inflation fell back to earth. The median consumer expected just 2.53% inflation over the next year, the second lowest reading since the New York Fed began the survey in June 2013.