We have 11 weeks left in the NFL’s regular season, and yet the number of teams that still have a legit shot to win the Super Bowl is only nine, and two NFC teams are heads and shoulders above the rest.
The Minnesota Vikings have emerged as the favourite, with a 16% chance to win it all, according to Nate Silver’s Five Thirty Eight. The Seattle Seahawks are second, with a 13% chance to be Super Bowl champs. The New England Patriots are the favourites in the AFC, as the only other team with at least a 10% chance.
In all, there are eight teams with at least a 5% chance of winning the Super Bowl and fewer than half of the NFL’s 32 teams even have a 1% chance — see chart below; record in parentheses.
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