UBS: These 8 stocks are going to dominate the self-driving car revolution

Uber

  • Self-driving cars will change which parts and suppliers automakers purchase from.
  • UBS’ has identified eight parts suppliers set to reap the rewards of a self-driving future.

Cars as we know them are about to undergo a radical transformation.

As our four-wheeled transporters become more eco-friendly, connected, and autonomous, the way automakers assemble vehicles will also need to radically change.

UBS analysts led by Colin Langan set out to identify the hardware makers, software developers, and other suppliers most primed to get a boost from this sea change, identifying eight stocks that will win from these indirect opportunities.

“Once drivers are eliminated, car interiors can be redesigned to emphasise comfort & flexibility. This implies opportunities for seating, electronics & suspension,” UBS said. “AV (autonomous vehicle) seats may need to pivot & reconfigure. Increased emphasis on in-car entertainment should drive demand for electronic displays. In addition, AVs tend to offer a less smooth driving experience than human drivers, so automakers will likely rely on more advanced suspension products.”

Here are the banks eight picks for stocks set to benefit from the self-driving car revolution:


Adient

Ticker: ADNT

Industry: Parts manufacturer, seating

Year-to-date performance: -28.7%

UBS’ take: “ADNT should benefit from increased seating content as adoption of autonomous vehicles alters the interior of the car. Seats in AVs will likely be more configurable (swivel, full-recline, etc.), and could end up looking a lot like premium seating on today’s aeroplanes.”

UBS rating: Buy

Source: UBS


Aptiv

Ticker: APTV

Industry: Vehicle electrical systems and software platforms

Year-to-date performance: +14.3%

UBS’ take: “APTV is amongst the leaders in developing an AV operating system, which should drive growth as both L3 and L4 systems gain mass adoption. We also see an indirect benefit from added entertainment electronics content. In addition, increasing electrification is a net positive for APTV. “

UBS rating: Neutral

Source: UBS


BorgWarner

Ticker: BWA

Industry: Powertrain supplies (transmissions, clutches) and electronics

Year-to-date performance: +2.05%

UBS’ take: “We see limited direct or indirect impact from AVs for BWA. On the EV impact, we see BWA as relatively powertrain agnostic. We estimate BWA has about $US900 – $US1,700 of potential ICE (in-car entertainment) content vs. ~$US2,200-$US2,400 of potential EV content. Though the EV opportunity is higher, it may be challenging for BWA to gain as strong a share position on EVs.”

UBS Rating: Neutral

Source: UBS


Delphi Technologies

Ticker: DLPH

Industry: Powertrain, advanced propulsion, aftermarket products.

Year-to-date performance: -4.05%

UBS’ take: “We see limited direct or indirect impact from AVs for DLPH. On the EV impact, DLPH has a strong EV opportunity with about $US1,500 in possible EV content vs. only $US200-$US600 in ICE content today.”

UBS Rating: Neutral

Source: UBS


Lear

Ticker: LEA

Industry: Supplier, seating and electrical systems

Year-to-date performance: +13.4%

UBS’ take: “Lear benefits from every theme as it has added wiring content in the AV system, indirect content from advanced seating, and EV content opportunities.”

UBS rating: Neutral

Source: UBS


Magna

Ticker: MGA

Industry: Vehicle bodies, electronics, seating, and vision/LiDAR systems

Year-to-date performance: +16.35%

UBS’ take: “MGA has capabilities around sensors, vision in particular, and the company has developed an AV domain controller. MGA is also working with a partner to supply LiDAR to BMW and has announced a partnership with Lyft to supply AV technology on Lyft cars. However, MGA’s AV software is still under development which is likely why MGA was not typically included as a key AV supplier by experts we interviewed.”

UBS Rating: Neutral

Source: UBS


Tenneco

Ticker: TEN

Industry: Part supplier and aftermarket product manufacturer

Year-to-date performance: -18.56%

UBS’ take: “We see no direct AV opportunity for TEN; however we see indirect opportunities from advanced suspension. Also the increase in miles travelled should help TEN’s aftermarket business. However, TEN remains at risk in an EV world.”

UBS Rating: Buy

Source: UBS


Visteon

Ticker: VC

Industry: Electronics supplier

Year-to-date performance: +5.36%

UBS’ take: “VC has recently developed DriveCore which is focused on the AV domain controller and AV middleware that performs sensor fusion. VC is later to AVs than other suppliers, like APTV; however, the company has a focused strategy that could prove successful over time. In addition, VC’s display electronics should benefit from the shift to AV’s.”

UBS Rating: Neutral

Source: UBS

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