Three top investors just shared a stock pick during a panel at the CNBC Institutional Investor Conference in New York City.
The players were:
- Robert Bishop, Founder, Impala Asset Management
- Jim Chanos, Founder and Managing Partner, Kynikos Associates
- Bill Miller, Founder, Chairman and Chief Investment Officer, LMM
Throughout the conference, speaker after speaker has discussed how dangerous this market is — how low yields have pushed investors toward desperation, and how it seems like assets are fully priced, making it hard to find value.
So pay attention.
First up, Miller:
Miller said his son said his pick was both “boring and obvious.”
He’s long the S&P 500 and short the 10 year Treasury. “Treasuries are hardly a risk free asset,” he said. “This more or less mathematically has to work.”
Miller is also long beleaguered stock, Valeant Pharmaceuticals “forget about the earnings number and just focus on free cash flow.” He said it’s a busted roll up that will eventually turn into a leveraged buy out.
“It’s a completely different company different management… you should be able to make 25%-30% on Valeant in the next five years.”
It is now a slow growth regular pharmaceutical company, according to Miller.
The idea is Tech Resources, a company that trades in the US and Canada. It’s a mining stock, so this is a commodities/metals story. You have to believe that prices are going to up as Chinese demand improves.
And there’s something to be said for that, as there are signs that the Chinese government is acting to stabilise the economy, despite saying that it was working toward allowing it to normalize last year. Generally, that stimulus has been about infrastructure — especially property development — which is great for metals
He said that the world is trying to slow its production of metals, China, specifically, is limiting the days coke and coal can be mined.
Tech Resources makes zinc, copper, coke and coal. It’s also cut costs significantly.
Chanos rehashed a short position he’s already announced, his short of the world of Elon Musk.
On Tuesday he focused on Tesla’s merger with SolarCity, which he said is “a completely flawed business model.”
“The bottom line is that Tesla, which was slightly above the red line puts itself well under the red line by buying SolarCity…. The combined SolarCity and Tesla, which we think will have a cash burn of a$1 billion a quarter, will constantly need access to capital markets.”
He said the proof of that, and of the proof that there’s something wrong with corporate governance at Tesla is that the Tesla board refused to provide a bridge loan to SolarCity. That was disclosed in merger documents.