Here’s an interesting view of the world’s stock markets from Guggenheim’s Scott Minerd:
A country’s market capitalisation as a per cent of GDP is a useful indicator in assessing whether an equity market is under- or overvalued. Making direct comparisons between developed markets and emerging markets can be difficult, however, because the latter tend to have less developed stock markets and lower market capitalisation to GDP ratios. A more useful indicator is to compare a country’s ratio to its historic levels. Based on current differences from previous 10 year averages, European markets, especially Italy, Spain, and France, appear particularly undervalued and therefore attractive. Additionally, the BRICs (Brazil, Russia, India, China) countries are currently below their averages, suggesting now may be a good buying opportunity.
MARKET CAPITALISATION, % OF GDP: DEVIATION FROM PRIOR 10-YEAR AVERAGE
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