The Spanish economy grew at an impressive (for Europe) 2% year-over-year in the last quarter of 2014.
That seems like really good news!
But in reality it’s hiding continued underlying weakness in the economy. 2% is great, but only because growth in the rest of Europe is anemic.
And Spain’s only growing in comparison to how absolutely awful things got. Capital Economics’ Jonathan Loynes wrote in a note Friday, “Spain remains one of the weakest economies in terms of the levels of activity. GDP is still almost 6% below its 2008 peak, pointing to the existence of a very large amount of spare capacity in the economy.“
And there’s a bigger problem: Unemployment in Spain is still the second-highest in the EU, at 23.7%.
So don’t break out the cava yet.