Here's what 15 top Wall Street economists are expecting from Friday's jobs report

On Friday, we’ll learn how many jobs were created in September by US firms.

The consensus expectation is for 200,000 new nonfarm payrolls, the lowest level since March 2014. Gains are expected to be driven by the addition of 198,000 private payrolls.

Lately, the jobs report has gained heightened importance as it has the potential to sway the Federal Reserve’s plan for monetary policy.

The Fed meets on October 27 and 28. While most do not expect the Fed to hike rates at that meeting, Fed Chair Janet Yellen has confirmed that October hasn’t been ruled out.

We’ll certainly get a better sense of what’s to come after we get the September jobs report.

To get you ready, we’ve complied the forecasts from 15 of the top Wall Street economists. Everyone is expecting improvement from last month’s headline number of 173,000. Expectations for September’s gains range from 180,000 to 225,000.

Check out all of the estimates below.

Maury Harris, UBS

Non-Farm Payroll Gains: 180,000

Unemployment Rate: 5.0%

Comment: 'The downward bias to the first prints of August payrolls is well documented and we project an upward revision of 50k to August. However, payrolls probably slowed again in September, reflecting payback for exaggerated increases in education payrolls. The unemployment rate probably fell again. We project a solid gain in average hourly earnings and a still-long workweek.'

Lewis Alexander, Nomura

Non-Farm Payroll Gains: 180,000

Unemployment Rate: 5.1%

Comment: 'In September, incoming data on labour markets have been mixed, and not suggestive of an above-200k gains in payrolls. Although initial and continuing jobless claims data are at low levels, survey data have been negative and economic momentum appears to have slowed from August.'

James Pomeroy, HSBC

Non-Farm Payroll Gains: 190,000

Unemployment Rate: 5.1%

Comment: 'Much of the slowdown in hiring has been in the mining and manufacturing sectors. In recent months, oil prices have seen a renewed slump, and surveys of manufacturing activity have weakened further. Service sector firms have continued to add to their workforces.'

Michelle Meyer, Bank of America

Non-Farm Payroll Gains: 190,000

Unemployment Rate: 5.1%

Comment: 'The goods side of the economy is likely to remain sluggish with the mining sector continuing to shed jobs amid lower oil prices. We also look for softness in manufacturing hiring reflecting the weak signal from the regional surveys in September. However, this should be offset by solid job growth in the services sector.'

Ted Wieseman, Morgan Stanley

Non-Farm Payroll Gains: 190,000

Unemployment Rate: 5.1%

Comment: 'The 4-week average of initial jobless claims rose only slightly between the August and September survey weeks to 272,500 from 271,500, pointing to a continued low rate of job cuts, but recent market weakness and rising global uncertainty and dollar strength we anticipate will slow new hiring. That's been seen in recent business surveys, including weak hiring indications in our MSBCI survey and a substantial slowing in hiring plans to a three-year low in the Business Roundtable's latest CEO survey.'

Michael Gapen, Barclays

Non-Farm Payroll Gains: 190,000

Unemployment Rate: 5.1%

Comment: 'Countervailing risks we have incorporated into our forecast include relatively modest survey-based readings for employment in September, the recent softening in the payroll diffusion index, and the potential for a drag on employment growth from the recent uptick in financial market uncertainty. On balance, we continue to look for a healthy pace of job growth.'

John Silvia, Wells Fargo

Non-Farm Payroll Gains: 192,000

Unemployment Rate: 5.1%

Comment: 'We continue to expect a modest pace of job growth over the next several months, with continued gains in full-time employment. In turn, the positive labour market dynamics should help support a robust pace of consumer spending.'

Jay Feldman, Credit Suisse

Non-Farm Payroll Gains: 195,000

Unemployment Rate: 5.1%

Comment: 'Job openings and initial claims data are delivering a healthy message for underlying labour market performance. Construction and service-producing sectors are expected to post solid gains as corresponding activity readings have been strong. On the downside, manufacturing and energy-related industries could restrain the job count. And local government (mainly teachers) looks due for a decline after front-

loaded strength over the summer.'

Joseph LaVorgna, Deutsche Bank

Non-Farm Payroll Gains: 200,000

Unemployment Rate: 5.1%

Comment: 'As Yellen emphasised last week, the FOMC expects further improvement in the labour market, so at the margin, a relatively healthy jobs report would raise the probability of Fed liftoff this year.'

Paul Mortimer-Lee, BNP Paribas

Non-Farm Payroll Gains: 200,000

Unemployment Rate: 5.1%

Comment: 'We could get bounces in a number of sectors, including construction, professional services and retail; while government and health care hiring likely moderated.'

Ian Shepherdson, Pantheon Macroeconomics

Non-Farm Payroll Gains: 200,000

Unemployment Rate: 5.0%

Comment: 'So far, we see no evidence that labour demand has slowed to anything like the extent required to signal a serious softening in the economy. Payrolls aren't rising quite as fast now as at their peak late last year, but the 324K average gains in the fourth quarter were never likely to be sustainable.'

Paul Ashworth, Capital Economics

Non-Farm Payroll Gains: 200,000

Unemployment Rate: 5.1%

Comment: 'Moreover, with that elevated rate of job openings indicating very strongly that the labour market is now close to full employment, the coming slowdown in employment growth will be mainly due to supply constraints rather than weaker demand for labour. That would have dramatically different implications for wage growth.'

Jim O'Sullivan, High Frequency Economics

Non-Farm Payroll Gains: 202,000

Unemployment Rate: 5.1%

Comment: ''

Tom Porcelli, RBC Capital Markets

Non-Farm Payroll Gains: 215,000

Unemployment Rate: 5.1%

Comment: 'Initial jobless claims continue to trend at cycle lows and at levels that in past expansions were consistent with non-trivial labour market tightness. Claims is the quintessential 'canary in the coal mine' when it comes to employment and the economic cycle, and at the moment it is doing nothing but suggesting the expansion has legs.'

Brian Jones, Societe Generale

Non-Farm Payroll Gains: 225,000

Unemployment Rate: 5.1%

Comment: 'Initial jobless claims continue to trend at cycle lows and at levels that in past expansions were consistent with non-trivial labour market tightness. Claims is the quintessential 'canary in the coal mine' when it comes to employment and the economic cycle, and at the moment it is doing nothing but suggesting the expansion has legs.'

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