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One surprising result from Wednesday’s Marquette poll of the Wisconsin recall election: Including party leaners, Gov. Scott Walker is getting a pretty significant 17.5 per cent of support of Democrats.That’s helping to contribute to Walker’s overall seven-point lead on Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett. Democrats decried the poll as a fraud Wednesday, but didn’t do a very good job explaining their reasoning.
By comparison, including leaners, Barrett gets about 8 per cent of the Republican vote. Walker got 88 per cent of the Republican vote, and Barrett received just 78 per cent of the Democratic vote. There’s a clear gap in party enthusiasm here.
Here’s the huge gap, though: Including leaners, Walker trounces Barrett in the Independent vote. He’s leading that 45 to 31 per cent.
The lack of enthusiasm for Barrett doesn’t carry over to the presidential race, however. Barack Obama is leading Mitt Romney by 8 percentage points among likely voters. He also gets about 90 per cent of the Democratic vote, and crushes Romney in the Independent vote.
The Republican Party is growing ever-confident of a victory in Wisconsin in the recall election. And they think it could carry over to November.
“Republicans have made a clear choice to provide the resources and support Governor Walker who’s governing like he campaigned and moving Wisconsin in the right direction,” RNC Chair Reince Priebus said Wednesday in a conference call with reporters. “One thing is really clear here if Walker wins on Tuesday, which we are really confident he will, Obama’s going to have a much tougher road ahead in Wisconsin this fall.”
In the Wisconsin Democratic Party conference call Wednesday, chair Mike Tate couldn’t offer an explanation as to why the poll results were flawed when they showed Obama up comfortably.
“I would say that it’s not my job to explain Charles Franklin’s bad maths,” Tate said of Franklin, the Marquette pollster. “I don’t think it makes any sense.”
Well, there it is.
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