ROY MORGAN: Julie Bishop is 'easily preferred' to Bill Shorten as prime minister

Stefan Postles/Getty ImagesTreasurer Scott Morrison (L), Minister for Foreign Affairs Julie Bishop (R).

Deputy Liberal Leader Julie Bishop has easily the strongest chance against Opposition Leader Bill Shorten in a head-to-head match up, according to Roy Morgan.

Treasurer Scott Morrison is in a “dead-heat” with Shorten, but Shorten holds a “comprehensive lead” over backbencher Peter Dutton.

Roy Morgan’s findings come from research conducted via a special Snap SMS Morgan Poll with a cross-section of more than 2,000 Australian voters on Thursday.

Here’s the market researcher’s breakdown in full:

*All “can’t say” and “don’t know” responses were removed from the results to make them directly comparable.

Liberal Leadership contenders vs. Opposition Leader Bill Shorten

Julie Bishop (64%) cf. Bill Shorten (36%).
Malcolm Turnbull (54%) cf. Bill Shorten (46%).
Bill Shorten (50.5%) cf. Scott Morrison (49.5%).
Bill Shorten (62%) cf. Peter Dutton (38%).

Julie Bishop vs. Bill Shorten

Bishop leads Shorten easily amongst both women and men, as well as across all age groups.

Men: Bishop 62.5% cf. Shorten 37.5%. Lead to Bishop 25%;
Women: Bishop 65.5% cf. Shorten 34.5%. Lead to Bishop 31%.

18-24yr olds: Bishop 57.5% cf. Shorten 42.5%. Lead to Bishop 15%;
25-34yr olds: Bishop 65% cf. Shorten 35%. Lead to Bishop 30%;
35-49yr olds: Bishop 66.5% cf. Shorten 33.5%. Lead to Bishop 33%;
50-64yr olds: Bishop 66.5% cf. Shorten 33.5%. Lead to Bishop 33%;
65+yrs old: Bishop 61% cf. Shorten 39%. Lead to Bishop 22%.

Bishop leads easily amongst the Liberal/ National Party and Independent voters, while Shorten is ahead with the ALP and Greens supporters.

L-NP supporters: Bishop 87% cf. Shorten 13%. Lead to Bishop 74%;
ALP supporters: Shorten 59.5% cf. Bishop 40.5%. Lead to Bishop 19%;
Greens supporters: Shorten 56.5% cf. Bishop 43.5%. Lead to Bishop 13%;
Ind./Others supporters: Bishop 70.5% cf. Shorten 29.5%. Lead to Bishop 41%.

Bishop leads in all mainland states with a huge lead in her home state of WA.

NSW: Bishop 65.5% cf. Shorten 34.5%. Lead to Bishop 31%;
Victoria: Bishop 59% cf. Shorten 41%. Lead to Bishop 18%;
Queensland: Bishop 63.5% cf. Shorten 36.5%. Lead to Bishop 27%;
WA: Bishop 84% cf. Shorten 16%. Lead to Bishop 68%;
SA: Bishop 57% cf. Shorten 43%. Lead to Bishop 14%;
Tasmania: Shorten 51% cf. Bishop 49%. Lead to Shorten 2%.

Scott Morrison vs. Bill Shorten

Morrison leads Shorten amongst men, while Shorten leads amongst women. Shorten leads Australians under 50, while Morrison leads 50+ year olds.

Men: Morrison 53% cf. Shorten 47%. Lead to Morrison 6%;
Women: Shorten 54% cf. Morrison 46%. Lead to Shorten 8%.

18-24yr olds: Shorten 70% cf. Morrison 30%. Lead to Shorten 40%;
25-34yr olds: Shorten 63.5% cf. Morrison 36.5%. Lead to Shorten 27%;
35-49yr olds: Shorten 53% cf. Morrison 47%. Lead to Shorten 6%;
50-64yr olds: Morrison 57.5% cf. Shorten 42.5%. Lead to Morrison 15%;
65+yrs old: Morrison 61% cf. Shorten 39%. Lead to Morrison 22%.

Morrison leads among the Liberal/ National Party and Independent voters, and Shorten is ahead with ALP and Greens supporters.

L-NP supporters: Morrison 91% cf. Shorten 9%. Lead to Morrison 82%;
ALP supporters: Shorten 78.5% cf. Morrison 21.5%. Lead to Shorten 57%;
Greens supporters: Shorten 88.5% cf. Morrison 11.5%. Lead to Shorten 77%;
Ind./Others supporters: Morrison 54% cf. Shorten 46%. Lead to Morrison 8%.

Shorten leads in Victoria, WA, SA and Tasmania, while Morrison is ahead in NSW and QLD.

NSW: Morrison 51% cf. Shorten 49%. Lead to Morrison 2%;
Victoria: Shorten 54% cf. Morrison 46%. Lead to Shorten 8%;
QLD: Morrison 53.5% cf. Shorten 46.5%. Lead to Morrison 7%;
WA: Shorten 50.5% cf. Morrison 49.5%. Lead to Shorten 1%;
SA: Shorten 52.5% cf. Morrison 47.5%. Lead to Shorten 5%;
Tasmania: Shorten 55.5% cf. Morrison 44.5%. Lead to Shorten 11%.

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