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Republican Mitt Romney is expanding his lead in North Carolina over President Barack Obama, a new poll from the conservative Civitas Institute showed Monday. The poll gives Romney a 5-point lead over Obama in the swing state, which is a must-win for team Romney. The big reason why Romney outpaces Obama in the new poll? Independents are flocking to the former Massachusetts governor, by an astounding 18-point margin. That’s a 20-point swing from what Civitas found in a hypothetical February poll, when Romney was down by 2 points among Independents. In this poll, 65 per cent of Independent voters said the country is on the wrong track.
North Carolina has trended more and more toward a safe bet for Romney recently. He now has a 2-point lead in the Real Clear Politics average of polling in the state.
“This poll shows that Romney is making strong inroads among the crucial Independent voter sector,” Civitas’ Jim Tynan told Business Insider. “We’ll have to see how that plays out in the months ahead. But he needs to win Independents to win North Carolina, and he needs to win North Carolina to win the presidency.”
One interesting result from the poll: Latinos actually preferred Romney by almost 30 points — 64 per cent to 35 per cent. But Tynan said that was probably just a “statistical anomaly” that was the result of a small sample size. Tynan said he couldn’t draw any conclusions about what effect the Obama administration’s recent shift in immigration policy might have had on the Latino vote in North Carolina.
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