This Number Shows Why The Election Is Far From Over In Ohio

Barack Obama

Photo: AP

After multiple Ohio polls last week found President Barack Obama’s lead expanding to new highs, the Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling brought those numbers back to earth, giving Obama a four-point, 49-45 lead over Republican Mitt Romney in the state. But for Obama, the greatest concern should come in his approval rating among undecided voters that are going to swing the balance in Ohio. Just 13 per cent of undecided voters approve of the job he is doing as president, while a startling 65 per cent disapprove. 

That doesn’t mean all — or even most — of those who disapprove will swing to Romney’s side. PPP Director Tom Jensen writes that only 26 per cent of those same undecided voters view Romney favourably, compared with 37 per cent unfavorably. But it could mean a much tighter race down the stretch of the campaign.

“Barack Obama is still the favourite in Ohio,” said Dean Debnam, president of Public Policy Polling, in a statement. “But it’s still a relatively close race there and a Mitt Romney comeback isn’t out of the question. It’s too early for Democrats to be celebrating or Republicans to be conceding.”

A potential comeback in Ohio is crucial for Romney’s electoral-college prospects. If he loses Ohio, he would have to capture Florida, New Hampshire, Iowa, Nevada, Virginia and Colorado, all states where he currently trails in polls. 

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