Public Policy Polling, a left-leaning firm, conducted about 255 polls this election season — including 19 polls in the final four days.
PPP has been the only firm to consistently track most of the battlegrounds — and even the “lean” states — throughout the 2012 campaign.
The final state polls give President Barack Obama a decisive victory over Republican nominee Mitt Romney.
Here’s where their map stands, according to the firm’s polls:
Photo: Brett LoGiurato/Business Insider (Data: Public Policy Polling)
There are some caveats, however. Here’s a breakdown:
- NORTH CAROLINA AND FLORIDA: PPP has found these two states to be extremely close. Obama wins Florida by a single vote in PPP’s last poll of the state. Romney, on the other hand, wins North Carolina by just two votes. The two states are unlikely to shift the outcome of the race either way — but winning North Carolina would give Obama an astounding 347-191 win.
- NEVADA AND COLORADO: Unlike most other polls, PPP found Obama with a greater advantage in Colorado (6 points) than in Nevada (4 points). Still, Obama led by comfortable margins (3 to 6 points) in both states throughout the firm’s October polling.
- OHIO AND VIRGINIA: PPP conducted four polls in each of these states over the past three weeks. Their average leads for Obama were 3.7 points in Ohio and 3.5 in Virginia.
- WISCONSIN, IOWA, NEW HAMPSHIRE: PPP polls found three states are well within the margin of error, and give Romney his best chance for some surprise pickups. According to PPP, Obama leads by just 2 points in Iowa and New Hampshire, and by 3 in Wisconsin.
- “EXPAND THE MAP” STATES: PPP polls have bad news for Romney in states like Pennsylvania, Michigan and Minnesota, where his campaign made a last-minute push in the final weks of the campaign. Obama leads by at least 6 points in all three states.
Here’s PPP’s final map, which shows the state of play in every state and gives an idea of the Electoral College range for both candidates:
Photo: Public Policy Polling
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