President Barack Obama‘s collapse is not confined to national polls today.A new Rasmussen poll shows that Obama’s once-comfortable lead is Wisconsin is also completely lost in just three months, thanks to a boost from Gov. Scott Walker‘s recall election win last week.
Romney now leads Obama in Wisconsin, 47 per cent to 44 per cent. He’s swung the state race there by 14 points since March, when he was staring at a 52-41 deficit.
Scott Rasmussen, the founder and president of Rasmussen Reports, told Business Insider this afternoon that if Obama lost Wisconsin in November, it would likely guarantee an election loss.
“I would assume if he loses Wisconsin, he’s going to lose [the election],” Rasmussen said. “It probably means he would have already lost Ohio and Florida and North Carolina. It would be a very bad sign. It becomes difficult for Barack Obama to win if he loses Wisconsin.”
The poll suggests that there may be a boost from Walker’s election. Rasmussen found that 58 per cent of voters are now excited about voting in the presidential election, which is higher than last month and a stronger level of intensity than the rest of the nation.
Scott Rasmussen said that in addition, Mitt Romney’s solidification of the Republican nomination and a flurry of bad economic news have contributed to the 14-point swing since March.
The Republican National Committee has moved quickly to take advantage of Walker’s win on a national level. Last week, RNC Chair Reince Priebus said on a conference call with reporters that “the momentum is clearly in our direction.”
“What Tuesday’s recall election also did showed the country that Mitt Romney and the GOP are in a good position to compete in Wisconsin in November and we intend to put our best ground game on the field,” Priebus said. “There is just no doubt about it that Wisconsin will be a tough battle and a tough fight, but I am pleased to say that the energy and excitement for that fight is on the Republican side.”
This is the first time that Romney has lead Obama in any Wisconsin. In the only other poll taken after the recall election — a We Ask America poll — Obama led by a slim-but-comfortable 5 points. Other polls in May found Obama up 8, 6 and 1 points, respectively.
Obama won Wisconsin by 13 points over John McCain in 2008.
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