President Barack Obama has huge leads in three crucial swing states over presumptive Republican nominee Mitt Romney, according to a new Quinnipiac/CBS/New York Times poll out Wednesday morning. Obama’s leads in the three states — Pennsylvania, Ohio and Florida — are significant because they fall outside the poll’s margin of error. And he reaches the 50-per cent mark in all three states. In Florida, Obama leads 51 to 45 per cent. In Ohio, it’s 50 per cent to 44 per cent. And in Pennsylvania, it’s a gigantic 53 to 42 per cent lead.
Women are driving Obama to the highs. He has incredible leads of at least 20 points among women in both Ohio and Pennsylvania, and he tops Romney among women in Florida by 7 points.
The poll slightly oversamples Democrats in Florida and Ohio. Whereas about 3 per cent more Democrats voted in the 2008 election than Republicans in both states, the Quinnipiac poll sampled 8 per cent more Democrats than Republicans in Ohio and 9 per cent more Democrats in Florida.
An important note: No president or candidate has gone on to win the White House without at least two of these three states.
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