Obama Has A Gigantic Lead In The Most Biased Poll Ever

Barack Obama

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President Barack Obama has one of the biggest leads we’ve seen for him in quite a long time in a new Pew Research Poll: He’s up 10 points over Mitt Romney. Don’t take much from it, though. Pew’s sample of registered voters is highly skewed, oversampling Democrats by almost 20 points. Pew surveyed 1,956 registered voters. Of those, 42 per cent were Democrats and just 23 per cent were Republicans. We can’t remember a poll being that imbalanced. 

Pew’s poll in June also slightly oversampled Democrats and gave Obama a 7-point lead

So what we can take from this is that Independents are still split on the two candidates, but they’ve trended toward Romney in the past few weeks. Independents in the poll voted for Romney, 45 per cent to 43 per cent. That’s a 3-point swing from Pew’s last poll, when Obama was up 46-45. 

Here’s a look:

Pew July poll

Photo: Pew Research centre

Also, Romney still has an edge in “engagement,” which bodes well for voter turnout in November. The percentage of Obama supporters saying they’ve “given a lot of thought” to the election has actually slipped 5 points in the past few weeks. 

Pew July poll

Photo: Pew Research centre

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