Photo: Bloomberg TV screenshot
Bob Doll, the now former chief equity strategist at BlackRock and the current chief equity strategist for Nuveen, offered 10 predictions for 2012 a year ago.”In summary, 2012 is likely to feature a slow-growth world that includes a recession in Europe,” he wrote. “Should the muddle-through environment come to pass, we believe earnings and some improvement in confidence would allow equity markets to move higher, with US stocks leading the way.“
So, it seems he nailed the gist of 2012. But what about the details?
We looked back at Doll’s 10 prediction and gave him a score.
In Q3, the eurozone went into recession after booking its second straight quarter of contraction. Meanwhile, stock markets are up and yields are down in the the area. E.U. leaders have put together a package that keeps Greece in the E.U. and out of bankruptcy for now.
Source: BlackRock, Business Insider
Half Right, Half Wrong
China and India's growth rates both slowed in 2012. However, the two countries did not account for half the world's growth. In 2012, the IMF estimates the world added about $2.3 trillion in wealth via a projected growth rate of 3.3%. Of that, China contributed approximately $600 billion and India contributed about $100 billion. The two countries contributed less than half of the world's growth in 2012.
For the most part, U.S. stocks have beaten the major global indices.
Source: Advisor Perspectives
Not only did the GOP fail to win back the White House or Senate, the party also lost seats in the House.
FINAL TALLY: 6.0/10.0
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