39,000 is way worse than expected.
50K private sector hiring is also way worse than expected.
Unemployment rate jumps to 9.8%.
Stocks have turned sharply negative on the news after being higher previously.
Other internals weak: No gains in work-week. No gains in earnings.
The full report can be found here.
Background: No big pre-amble needed here… The consensus is for gains of somewhere around 130-150K on the headline number, but the “whisper” is definitely higher, and there are some calling for gains of close to 200K.
A string of good news and improving initial claims numbers has injected a lot of optimism into markets going into this report. It certainly has potential to disappoint.
Whereas this summer all the focus was on a private sector payrolls — which are also expected to be around 140K — a lot of focus should be on the public sector number. If state and local governments stop slashing jobs, that’s a very good sign that one of the huge danger spots is not there.
The S&P is up about .3% going into the report.
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