Today is the best slate of NFL Thanksgiving games in recently memory.
Here’s what’s going on with each game from a betting perspective:
Packers (-6.5) at Lions. The public is all over Green Bay (72%), but the line hasn’t really budged from the -6 or -6.5 it opened at.
A lot of people think the Packers are vulnerable coming off a underwhelming performance against the Bucs that saw James Starks get banged up.
The homefield should give the Lions a little push. But then again they haven’t won a Thanksgiving game in Detroit since 2003.
Dolphins (+7) at Cowboys. If Miami was playing anyone but the Cowboys, they’d be getting huge public action. They’re the type of team sharp bettors love — a surging team with a terrible record straight-up but a decent record against the spread.
But Dallas is a behemoth when it comes to betting, so the line has stuck right at the +7 it opened at.
49ers (+3.5) at Ravens. Caesar’s sportsbook head Todd Fuhrman described the Niners as “very public” on Twitter yesterday. They’re 9-0-1 against the spread. But Vegas still isn’t really giving them a ton of respect against a Baltimore team that’s been relatively inconsistent this season.
Vegas opened the line at Baltimore -5, and bettors has since moved it down to -3.5 or -3.
What does Vegas see in Baltimore?
They’ve played well against good teams in high-profile games this year (both Pittsburgh games, last week against Cincy). And San Francisco has to travel across the country on a short week.
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