NFL WEEK 10: Our official predictions for who wins this weekend

The Pittsburgh Steelers, Philadelphia Eagles, and Oakland Raiders are some of our best bets to cover the spread this weekend. Kate McShane/Getty Images

Last week Las Vegas bookmakers and sharp bettors got absolutely pummelled.

According to ESPN’s David Purdum, the sportsbooks in Nevada lost $US7-$US10 million on Sunday thanks to a string of favourites covering and getting killed on a few games with lopsided action.

But while every other bettor in Vegas was rolling in dough, it was another losing week here. My bad on that.

Still, we can use last week to our advantage. Assuming lightning doesn’t strike twice, this should be a good week for the underdogs – public bettors with a bit of extra cash on hand will want to back the teams that brought them so much money last weekend, opening the door for some solid value on the ugly underdogs.

Take a look below as we try to turn things around with our predictions for who covers this weekend (* indicates home team).

OVERALL: 57-74-3

Byes: Denver Broncos, Minnesota Vikings, Baltimore Ravens, Houston Texans

Pittsburgh Steelers* (-3.5) over Carolina Panthers

The Steelers are on a tear right now. Joe Sargent/Getty Images

The Steelers have won four straight games and come into this Thursday night matchup red hot. Both their losses this season so far have been at home, and it’s tough to imagine them dropping a third in front of the Terrible Towels.

Detroit Lions (+6.5) over Chicago Bears*

Matthew Stafford is about to face one of the toughest Bears defences he’s ever faced. Hannah Foslien/Getty Images

This is too many points for the Bears to lay. They have won two straight games, but they came against the Bills and the Jets, two of the worst teams in football right now. Take the Lions and hope Matthew Stafford can keep things close.

Cincinnati Bengals* (+5.5) over New Orleans Saints

Tyler Boyd will have to step up for the Bengals in A.J. Green’s absence. Andy Lyons/Getty Images

The loss of A.J. Green is huge for the Bengals’ offence, but this is a classic let-down spot for the Saints after their huge win over the Rams last week. If we’re trusting the underdogs to bark back this weekend, Cincinnati is the only side to play in this one.

Atlanta Falcons (-4) over Cleveland Browns*

The Falcons need a big second half of the season to make the playoffs. Patrick McDermott/Getty Images

Despite a poor start, the Falcons are now one of the hottest teams in football, and can’t afford to lose another game in the race for a playoff spot in the NFC. The Browns are still a team that fired its head coach and offensive coordinator two weeks ago.

New England Patriots (-6.5) over Tennessee Titans*

I’m done betting against Tom Brady. Maddie Meyer/Getty Images

If I’m going to bounce back from a few bad weeks of bets, I have to stop going against the Patriots. It’s been true for years, but I’ve finally accepted it.

Jacksonville Jaguars (+3) over Indianapolis Colts*

Blake Bortles’ play has taken quite a downturn since last season. Sam Greenwood/Getty Images

Just a month ago, I would have guessed the Jaguars would be favoured by at least a field goal in this game. Jacksonville is an absolute mess, but they’re coming off a bye, and the idea that the Colts could be favoured in any game still feels like a stretch.

Arizona Cardinals (+16.5) over Kansas City Chiefs*

The Cardinals offence has been dismal all year. Christian Petersen/Getty Images

Strictly on principle, when there is a line this long in an NFL game, you take the underdog. If you don’t want the underdog, take your money elsewhere. It’s just too many points.

New York Jets* (-6) over Buffalo Bills

J-E-T-S. Jets. Jets. Jets. Mike Stobe/Getty Images

As much as the Jets should not be favoured by six over any team, I can’t pass up another opportunity to bet against Nathan Peterman. We only have so many chances to do it left.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers* (-3) over Washington Redskins

Ryan Fitzpatrick is a football enigma. Andy Lyons/Getty Images

Washington is trending downward after their surprise jump to the top of the NFC East, and the Buccaneers keep proving that they can score points in large chunks quickly. If Tampa Bay can jump out to an early lead, this one could get ugly.

Oakland Raiders* (+9.5) over Los Angeles Chargers

Derek Carr and the Raiders are coming off of their worst game of the year. Daniel Shirey/Getty Images

Too many points.

Miami Dolphins (+9.5) over Green Bay Packers*

Death, taxes, and Frank Gore getting productive offensive touches. Mark Brown/Getty Images

Also, too many points.

Los Angeles Rams* (-9.5) over Seattle Seahawks

The Rams are out to show their still the best team in the NFL. Wesley Hitt / Getty Images

OK, this one should be too many points as well, but the Rams are coming off their first loss of the season and almost got caught by the Seahawks the first time they met this season. Look for Sean McVay to pour it on in this one.

Philadelphia Eagles* (-7) over Dallas Cowboys

Philadelphia has been waiting for a long time to put the Cowboys in their place. Kate McShane/Getty Images

The Eagles are at home, coming off a bye, playing their most hated rival in primetime. It’s a statement game for the defending champions – the first time since they have won their rings that they get to face the opponent that mocked their franchise’s lack of titles for so long. Eagles in a rout.

San Francisco 49ers* (-3) over New York Giants

Nick Mullens debut was magical — can he repeat it? Daniel Shirey/Getty Images

The 49ers really seemed to rally around Nick Mullens after his standout debut last week, and against a struggling Giants team, it feels like they could do it again.

Now check out where every team stands heading into Week 10 with our NFL Power Ranks


NFL POWER RANKINGS: Where all 32 teams stand going into Week 10