After just one week of the NFL season, the Kansas City Chiefs are now the slight favourite to win the Super Bowl, and only five other teams have a legit shot to beat them.
Using Nate Silver’s “2017 NFL Predictions,” a model that rates each team and then projects how the regular season and playoffs will play out, we can get a better sense of which teams are the true Super Bowl contenders.
Heading into Week 2, the Chiefs (14%) are now the favourite thanks to their big win over the New England Patriots (10%), who are now second. The defending NFC champions Atlanta Falcons are also being given a 10% shot of winning it all.
If we use 5% as the cut off (1 in 20 shot), there are only six teams being given a legit shot to win the Super Bowl, with eight other teams just missing the cut.
Here are the 14 teams with at least a 3% chance to win the Super Bowl:
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