Nate Silver is betting on the 49ers to win today’s big game.
The statistician and blogger has combed through data from previous Super Bowl games and noticed a trend where teams with the best defence ultimately over teams with better offence.
“The reasons that exceptional defenses fare so much better in the Super Bowl are still somewhat murky, but this factor bodes well for this year’s 49ers, whose defence belongs in the elite group,” writes Silver. “The Ravens, despite all the hype surrounding Ray Lewis, allowed a rather pedestrian 21.5 points per game this year.”
Photo: New York Times Magazine
We first spotted Silver’s prediction on AllThingsD. If you remember, Silver predicted last year’s presidential election correctly. Let’s see if his skill can translate over to today’s big game.