Florida, the only 1-seed to make the Final Four, is a significant favourite to win the national championship, according to Nate Silver’s model.
Here are his title odds going into the Final Four:
- Florida: 38.4% (69.9% to make the title game)
- Wisconsin: 31.2% (58.2% to make the title game)
- Kentucky: 19.1% (41.8% to make the title game)
- Connecticut: 11.3% (30.1% to make the title game)
Florida was the only one of Silver’s pre-tournament picks to make the Final Four. He gave them a ~15% chance to win it all before the games began.
Wisconsin had a 3% chance to win the title, Kentucky a 2% chance, and UConn a less than 1% chance.
The semifinals are on Saturday night. Florida plays UConn and Wisconsin plays Kentucky.
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