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The December NAHB Housing Market survey is out.The index rose to 47, right in line with expectations.
The slight rise from last month’s reading (revised down to 45 from 46) takes the index to its highest level since April of 2006.
However, the headline number masked weakness in the southern and western regions of the country, while homebuilder confidence in the Northeast region surged.
Tim Backshall highlighted the divergence on Twitter:
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Below, the full text from the NAHB release:
December 18, 2012 – Builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes rose for an eighth consecutive month in December to a level of 47 on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI), released today. This marked a two-point gain from a slightly revised November reading, and the highest level the index has attained since April of 2006.
“Builders across the country are reporting some of the best sales conditions they’ve seen in more than five years, with more serious buyers coming forward and a shrinking number of vacant and foreclosed properties on the market,” observed NAHB Chairman Barry Rutenberg, a home builder from Gainesville, Fla. “However, one thing that is still holding back potential home sales is the difficulty that many families are encountering in getting qualified for a mortgage due to today’s overly stringent lending standards.”
“While there is still much room for improvement, the consistent upward trend in builder confidence over the past year is indicative of the gradual recovery that has been taking place in housing markets nationwide and that we expect to continue in 2013,” noted NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe.
Derived from a monthly survey that NAHB has been conducting for the past 25 years, the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index gauges builder perceptions of current single-family home sales and sales expectations for the next six months as “good,” “fair” or “poor.” The survey also asks builders to rate traffic of prospective buyers as “high to very high,” “average” or “low to very low.” Scores from each component are then used to calculate a seasonally adjusted index where any number over 50 indicates that more builders view sales conditions as good than poor.
Two of the HMI’s three component indexes are now above the critical midpoint of 50. The component gauging current sales expectations rose two points to 51 in December, while the component gauging sales expectations in the next six months slipped one point, to 51. The component measuring traffic of prospective buyers increased one point, to 36.
ORIGINAL: Minutes away from the latest homebuilder confidence numbers from the NAHB at 10 AM ET.
The consensus estimate is for an index reading of 47, a slight tick up from November’s 46 reading.
The NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index surveys homebuilders on both current home sales and sales expectations for the next six months, as well as perceptions of the flow of prospective home buyers.
We will have the release LIVE at 10 AM ET. Click here for updates >