Mitt Romney Takes A Shocking Lead In Michigan

Barack Obama

Photo: White House photo

Michigan was a state that, until today, was considered a rather safe state in this fall’s election for President Barack Obama. Just last week, the Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling released a survey that showed a 14-point advantage for Obama over Republican challenger Mitt Romney. But a new poll released today by the research firm EPIC-MRA directly contradicts those results and puts Michigan firmly in the swing-state category. 

Romney actually now leads Obama, 46 per cent to 45 per cent. EPIC-MRA actually oversampled Democrats (with leans) by 2 points.

Obama Romney poll


Michigan is the second Great Lakes state to be surprisingly in play this week. After Gov. Scott Walker survived the recall election aimed at unseating him, Republicans think Wisconsin will be up for grabs for Romney this November. Without the momentum that came from the recall election, Michigan is even more of a shock.

A couple of the more interesting toplines from the poll: First, gay marriage is actually kind of a big deal in Michigan, and it doesn’t work in Obama’s favour in this poll. Though the majority said it wouldn’t influence their vote, 34 per cent said they would be less likely to vote for Obama because of his May endorsement of gay marriage. Of those 24 per cent said they would be much less likely. Only 12 per cent said they would either be somewhat or much more likely to vote for him because of the stance. 

Voters had similar feelings toward Mitt Romney for his views on the auto industry bailout put into place by both Obama and President George W. Bush. Overall, 39 per cent of voters said they would be less likely to vote for Romney because of his stance. Of those, 25 per cent were much less likely. 

How is Romney catching up in Michigan? Likely the money advantage. Between campaign spending and super PAC ads in the state, a representative from EPIC-MRA said Romney forces are drastically outspending Obama in the state. 

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