- Joe Biden cruised to victory in Missouri’s Democratic presidential primary, according to Decision Desk HQ.
- The polls in Missouri have officially closed at 8 p.m. ET (7 p.m. CT).
- Former Vice President Joe Biden, Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont, and Rep. Tulsi Gabbard of Hawaii faced off on March 10 for the Democratic nomination.
- We’ll have up-to-the-minute live vote counts and results happening in real-time updating automatically.
- Visit Business Insider’s homepage for more stories.
Former Vice President Joe Biden clinched an early win in Missouri’s Democratic presidential primary against Bernie Sanders, according to projections from Decisions Desk HQ.
Missouri Democratic primary results:
Biden’s easy victory did not come as a surprise – after dominating Super Tuesday the former Vice President gained huge momentum going into today’s Democratic primaries. Biden rode on these successes to secure Mississippi and Michigan‘s presidential primaries as well.
Before polls opened on March 10, Biden was projected to sweep Missouri’s Democratic presidential primary with a 95% chance at winning most of the pledged delegates – and he delivered.
With 68 pledged delegates up for grabs in Missouri, Biden’s solid win further strengthened his existing lead on the Vermont Senator for the 2020 Democratic nomination. Missouri’s eight congressional districts will determine how 44 of the pledged delegates will be allocated, while the remaining 24 pledged delegates will be determined by the statewide vote.
Biden’s successes in the Show-Me State were carried in part by Black voters. Although NBC News’ exit polls showed that Biden had broad support among Democratic primary voters, the African American electorate in Missouri overwhelmingly supported the former Vice President. According to CNN’s exit polls, 7 in 10 Black voters in Missouri cast their ballots for Biden.
The former Vice President also showed strong backing with those over the age of 45 and voters whose top priority was to beat President Donald Trump in the state.
After surprising many by dominating on Super Tuesday, Biden may have appeared to be the candidate best positioned to beat Trump in 2020. An Insider poll found that Biden’s satisfaction among Democrats who knew of him jumped from 47% to 61% after his big Super Tuesday wins, while Sanders’ satisfaction fell from 63% to 54% from February 20 and March 6.
Interestingly, the novel coronavirus‘s rapid spread across the US may also have had an impact on how voters cast their ballot on March 10- according to CNN’s preliminary exit polls, nearly six in ten Missouri primary voters trusted Biden to handle a major crisis. Only a quarter of those voters trusted Sanders to handle a crisis like the COVID-19 outbreak.
Catch up on live coverage from the primary:
- POLL: Biden shattered Bernie’s momentum, with sceptical Democrats increasingly satisfied with Biden as nominee
- The Michigan primary is Bernie Sanders’ last chance to show he has a shot at becoming president
- Here’s who Joe Biden is reportedly considering for top positions in his administration as he touts a ‘Return to Normal’ plan
- Candidates who’ve dropped out of the presidential race are endorsing either Biden or Sanders. Here’s whose side they’re on and why.
What’s at stake in the primary?
Missouri has an allocated 78 Democratic delegates, including 68 pledged delegates and 10 superdelegates. Missouri’s eight congressional districts will determine how 44 of the pledged delegates will be allocated, while the remaining 24 pledged delegates will be determined by the statewide vote.
The Missouri Democratic Party announced in a memo that it would only be providing delegate estimates on election night because Missouri’s Republican-held secretary of state’s office has declined to break down Tuesday’s popular vote by congressional district, meaning 44 of the pledged delegates might not be known until weeks after Tuesday’s primary, according to the St. Louis Dispatch.
Missouri will also be one to watch as its primaries are open, meaning that any voter, no matter their affiliation, can cast a ballot for either party.
With Donald Trump’s 2020 presidential bid all but assured, Missouri Republicans could choose to vote whichever Democratic candidate they’d prefer to see Trump against – an issue that has been raised by local news outlets and state politicians. Voters in the state overwhelmingly support President Donald Trump, who won 56.4% of the vote in the 2016 presidential election.
As in most other states, candidates must earn over 15% of the vote in a given district or statewide to earn any delegates. While Democrat’s pledged delegates are assigned proportionally to the vote, Republican delegates function on a winner-takes-all system if a candidate secures more than half of the vote.
Political pundits have closely watched Missouri’s elections over the years for its uncanny historical accuracy of voting the winner of presidential contests.
The battleground state has become known as a presidential bellwether for voting for the ultimate winner in all but three US presidential elections since 1904. In recent years, the Midwestern state has trended red, with Republicans winning the state in the past five presidential cycles. During the 2018 midterms, the GOP celebrated a huge win, flipping Missouri’s US Senate seat.
Who did the polling say was ahead?
Both FiveThirtyEight’s average of the latest polling data and its primary election forecast favour former Vice President Joe Biden to win big in the Missouri primaries.
As of March 9, FiveThirtyEight’s polling data revealed that Biden is the Democratic front-runner by a long shot, carrying 54.7% of voters. Sanders was the runner-up with 30.6% and Rep. Tulsi Gabbard polled just above 1%.
Biden is predicted to win an average of 42 pledged delegates out of 68 possible delegates in Missouri, with a 96% chance of winning most of the votes in the state, according to FiveThirtyEight’s primary election forecast. While Biden has a 19 in 20 chance of winning most of the pledged delegates (95%), Sanders has only 1 in 15 (6%).
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