Millennials Will Have A Hard Time Entering The Housing Market

Photo: Flickr / Willy D

In this day and age, the 18- to 34-year-old crowd have lived up to their reputation as perpetual renters. Most blame the trend on the housing crisis, which led so many homeowners to downsize and stunted the home buying power of younger consumers. But whatever trauma the Great Recession had on the minds of millennials, it hasn’t stymied their hopes for owning a home of their own one day, a new study shows. 

Real estate tracker Trulia found more than 90 pecent of millennial renters plan on buying a home in the next two years.

The question is whether they’ll find what they’re looking for. The housing inventory has been far from stellar lately, down 23 per cent since last year and a whopping 43 per cent since 2010, Trulia estimates.

trulia

Photo: Trulia

“Many [Millennials] think today’s low prices and low mortgage rates will last,” says Jed Kolko, Trulia’s Chief Economist. “They may be in for sticker shock if the cost of homeownership has returned to normal levels by the time they’re ready to buy.”

Then there’s the affordability factor to consider. People in their 30s saw their wealth diminished the most during the recession, a recent Pew study found, and the underemployment rate is estimated at more than 15 per cent.

It’s true that home prices have been slowly rebounding, which will hopefully give sales a boost –– 22 per cent of homeowners say they’ll likely sell in the next year –– and beef up the offerings. Today, 27 per cent feel more positive about owning a home than half a year ago, while 19 per cent say they’re more negative, according to Trulia.

It’s certainly not the overwhelming majority’s sentiment –– 72 per cent still say homeownership isn’t their idea of the American Dream –– but it’s a hint that consumers’ optimism in the housing market might steadily be returning.

“Millennials have been shaken, not scarred by the housing bust,” says Kolko. “Nearly all of them want to own a home some day, if they’re not homeowners already.”

NOW WATCH: Money & Markets videos

Want to read a more in-depth view on the trends influencing Australian business and the global economy? BI / Research is designed to help executives and industry leaders understand the major challenges and opportunities for industry, technology, strategy and the economy in the future. Sign up for free at research.businessinsider.com.au.