If you’re having trouble choosing which horse to back in this year’s Melbourne Cup, we may have something of interest you.
Based on previous results, PrimaryMarkets has produced a variety of statistics to help narrow down your search.
Kind of like a game of Guess Who, for those who have played in the past.
Here’s what it found about the influence of barrier number on the final result.
- Barrier five is the most successful since 1983, producing four of the 35 winners.
- Stalls 6, 12, 15, 18, 19, 23 & 24 have not produced a winner in the past 30 years.
- Since the barrier stalls were introduced in 1924, no winner has ever jumped from gate 18.
- 21 of the past 35 winners jumped from the inside half of the field; i.e. barriers 1-12 in fields of 24.
- Since 1996, 13 of 21 winners jumped from the inside division.
- The last winner from the outside barrier was Brew — 22/22 in 2000.
- The most recent winner from the coveted inside stall was Prince Of Penzance in 2015.
So the insider runners have generally fared better than those jumping out wide over the history of the Cup.
As for the characteristics of the Cup winner, PrimaryMarkets says older runners tend to do well. Those carrying 55kgs or less have also won the vast majority of Cups over the past three decades.
More than a few statistics to help you narrow down your search.
And remember — past performance is not indicative of future returns.