Investors in Argentina known as “me-too” bondholders have filed $US6-$US8 billion worth of claims for more of the country’s money to US Judge Thomas Griesa, says Argentine Economy Minister Axel Kicillof.
And as far as Kicillof is concerned, those investors won’t get a dime more than what he believes they are owed.
“Griesa asked that all those filing claims go to court and they’re there now. The news … what there is to recount, is that those who showed up are also vultures, and many of those who filed a claim initially showed up, like Paul Singer.” Kicillof said in a radio interview in Argentina. “What this tells us is that this is all a trap. Eighty-five per cent of those who’ve made claims in this round are vulture funds.”
The “me too” bondholders are following the lead of a hedge fund manager who is now notorious in Argentina, Paul Singer.
Singer bought Argentine debt after the country’s last massive default in 2002. Then, instead of taking the opportunity to restructure that debt in 2005 and 2010, he and a few others (known collectively as NML) insisted on getting paid 100 cents on the dollar. That, in Argentina, makes them “vulture funds.”
The fact that Singer got a court in Ghana to impound an Argentine naval vessel back in 2012 didn’t help matters (the International Martime Court of the Sea made Ghana release the boat).
Singer continued suing The Republic for the over $US1.3 billion he said he’s owed, and presiding Judge Thomas Griesa sided with him. So did the US Supreme Court, which refused to even hear Argentina’s appeal.
Consequently, Argentina could not pay any bondholders if it did not also pay NML (which is what it had been trying to do).
Even then, the Buenos Aires would not pay. As result, the country went into “selective default” last July. Because of that, the country is now also open to claims from more investors. Judge Griesa gave them until March 2nd to file. Argentina has until March 17th to respond — but it doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure what they might say. In the past, all of Argentina’s talk about wanting to negotiate has been just that — talk.
“Argentine law leaves us well covered because it’s very clear that the bonds under Argentine law are our domain,” Kicillof said on Tuesday. “Griesa will try to stop creditors from being paid under Argentine law, which is extortion and allows the vultures to tell the entire world that the country is knocked out thanks to its bad behaviour.”
NML, for its part, argues that the bonds in question are under New York’s jurisdiction. It was after the entire “selective default” mess happened that Argentina tried to bring them under Buenos Aires’ jurisdiction. The manoeuvre did not amuse Judge Griesa, or really anyone else.
Nevertheless, a multibillion dollar bill is too much for the country at this time. Inflation is high (at 40%) in Argentina, capital flight is rampant, the country’s balance of payments is off balance, and back in January there was a shortage of tampons that almost had women protesting in the streets.
As of this fall, there was under $US30 billion in Argentina’s central bank.
And of course, with lawsuits like this going on, no one wants to buy Argentine debt. A bond offering proposed last week was “suspended” after NML cried foul.
The Wall Street banks sent potential investors a warning letter saying they would not be held responsible for anything that happened after the bonds were purchased. Basically, they were saying: ‘Once you buy these, you’re on your own.’
If that sounds like it would be a really risky investment, that’s because it is. However, President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner (and Kicillof) are supposed to leave office after this year, so some analysts believe a new government will get Argentina back on track.
Would you take that bet?