- Joe Biden has been projected to win the Massachusetts Democratic presidential primary.
- The former vice president surprised some observers with his projected sweep of the New England state.
- Meanwhile, Sen. Elizabeth Warren finished a disappointing third in her home state.
- We’ll have up-to-the-minute live vote counts and results happening in real time updating automatically.
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With over three quarters of precincts reporting, Decision Desk HQ projects that former Vice President Joe Biden has won the Massachusetts Democratic presidential primary, edging out Sen. Bernie Sanders.
Home state Sen. Elizabeth Warren is having a disappointing night, coming in third.
Massachusetts primary results:
Catch up on live coverage from the primary:
Thank you, Massachusetts! https://t.co/CkA2gy1RPo
— Joe Biden (@JoeBiden) March 4, 2020
Political commenters have expressed surprise over Biden’s solid win in Massachusetts.
Now seriously, who predicted Biden would win in Massachusetts? Warren is US senator from MA and Sanders has been very popular there. (If you tell me you predicted it, I want to see clear proof.) #SuperTuesday
— Larry Sabato (@LarrySabato) March 4, 2020
According to CNN, Joe Biden did not campaign in:
And he's going to win them all tonight.
— Derek Thompson (@DKThomp) March 4, 2020
I canvassed a lot in Massachusetts and so did plenty of my friends. We very rarely encountered Biden people – my hunch is that a bunch decided within the past few days
— Natalie Shure (@nataliesurely) March 4, 2020
Meanwhile, Biden’s victory over Warren on her home turf shows how her campaign is struggling in the wake of Sen. Amy Klobuchar and former South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg dropping out of the race and endorsing Biden. Insider’s Walt Hickey noted that Klobuchar and Buttigieg built constituencies that could have been a good fit for Warren, and pushing them to Biden could be dire news for the Massachusetts senator.
- While final Massachusetts results continue to come in, head over to our main Super Tuesday post to follow all the action.
- Former Vice President Joe Biden has enjoyed a strong showing on Super Tuesday, winning North Carolina, Oklahoma, Alabama, Minnesota, Arkansas, Tennessee, and Virginia in addition to Massachusetts.
- The early results of Super Tuesday have been a disaster for Former New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg, who spent $US250 million on advertising in the states being contested.
- 16 primaries and caucuses are happening today – here’s everything you need to know about the biggest day in the Democratic primary race.
- Some polling places in the Los Angeles area were affected by a power outage Tuesday afternoon, which also affected parts of LAX airport.
- Former New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg told reporters that the only path he sees to winning is through a contested convention, in which no candidate wins a majority of delegates and the Democratic nomination becomes up for grabs.
- Everything you need to know about Super Tuesday on March 3, the biggest day in the Democratic primaries
- The more Democratic voters have gotten to know Mike Bloomberg, the less they like him
- Amy Klobuchar and Pete Buttigieg endorsing Joe Biden is absolutely devastating news for Elizabeth Warren
- 9 mind-blowing facts that show just how much richer Mike Bloomberg is than the other presidential candidates
- ‘We made history’: Pete Buttigieg drops out of the 2020 presidential race
- Joe Biden crushed the South Carolina primary
What’s at stake in the primary?
The state has been allocated 91 delegates who will go to Milwaukee in July to select the nominee, or 2.3% of the total number of delegates. 32 of those delegates will be allocated proportionally based on the state-wide vote, while the remaining 59 are won at the congressional district level.
As in all the Democratic primaries and caucuses this year, delegates at both the state and congressional district level are distributed in proportion to each candidate’s vote share among those with at least 15% support in either the state or district.
The biggest prizes at the congressional district level are the state’s 5th and 7th districts, which will allocate eight delegates each. The districts are both in the Boston area, as is the 8th congressional district, which has seven delegates.
Massachusetts is the home state of Sen. Elizabeth Warren, one of the remaining major candidates in the race. A win at home would bolster her flagging campaign, while losses here and in other Super Tuesday states could spell the end.
Who does the polling say is ahead?
According to RealClearPolitics’ average of the latest polling data, Sen. Bernie Sanders held a narrow lead of 24.7% over Warren’s 20.7% in pre-election polling. Former South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg, who dropped out of the race on Sunday, was in third place with 13.3%, followed by former New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg at 11.7%, former Vice President Joe Biden at 10.7%. Sen. Amy Klobuchar, who dropped out of the race and endorsed Joe Biden, polled at 6.0%.
Based on those polling averages, all of the candidates aside from Sanders and Warren fell below the 15% threshold, which could put a serious limit on the number of delegates they could win in the state.
It’s worth noting that most of the polling for Massachusetts, as well as the other Super Tuesday states, came before Biden’s commanding win in South Carolina on Saturday and Buttigieg’s departure from the race on Sunday.
According to FiveThirtyEight’s election forecast, Sanders had a roughly 2 in 3 chance of winning the state, quite a bit higher than Warren’s 3 in 10 chance.
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