The betting odds for an anti-euro candidate winning the French election are eerily similar to Brexit

France is going to the polls on Sunday to vote in what is likely to be a highly contested presidential election. Four candidates,
Emmanuel Macron, Marine Le Pen, Francois Fillon, and Jean-Luc Melenchon — are within percentage points of one another in the polls, but only two will advance to the run-off in May.
The election has markets on edge as two of the candidates, Le Pen and Melenchon, have campaigned on euro-sceptic platforms.

Le Pen, the leader of the far-right National Front party has said she would ask European leaders and the European Central Bank to replace the euro with a basket of new national currencies, in effect breaking up the single currency.

“The euro is not a currency,” Le Pen said in February. “It is a political weapon to force countries to implement the policies decided by the [European Union] and keep them on a leash.

Melenchon, a far-left candidate, has been a little less abrasive. In his manifesto, he wrote he would “devalue the euro to its initial exchange rate against the dollar” if he were elected to office. He has since said that the recent drop in the euro-dollar exchange rate has it trading at an “acceptable” level.

In a somewhat eerie coincidence, the betting odds of either euro-sceptic candidate winning the presidency closely mirror those of the UK voting in favour of Brexit.

We all know how that turned out…

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