- Democratic Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand’s recent feud with President Donald Trump led to a sharp swing in her odds for the 2020 presidential election.
- One betting market slashed her odds to win the presidency from 50-to-1 to 25-to-1, pulling closer to Democratic favourites that include Sens. Elizabeth Warren, Kamala Harris, and Bernie Sanders.
- Trump remains the favourite in betting markets to win the 2020 election, with odds just over 2-to-1.
Democratic Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand of New York saw her odds to win the 2020 presidential election spike after her recent feud with President Donald Trump.
The back-and-forth between the two began after Gillibrand called on Trump to resign amid allegations of sexual misconduct from more than a dozen women against the president. Trump responded with a tweet, criticising Gillibrand as a “lightweight” that begged him for donations and “would do anything for them.”
Trump’s comments were quickly criticised in Democratic circles. Gillibrand responded with a tweet of her own.
“You cannot silence me or the millions of women who have gotten off the sidelines to speak out about the unfitness and shame you have brought to the Oval Office,” she said.
Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren also came to Gillibrand’s defence, accusing the president of “slut-shaming” and questioning his reasoning in picking a fight with the New York senator.
Gillibrand’s strong response to Trump fuelled speculation about her 2020 ambitions, and betting markets were quick to react to the signal. According to Josh Appelbaum of the Action Network, Gillibrand’s odds jumped from 50-to-1 to 25-to-1 in the 24 hours that followed the feud at 5Dimes, a popular online betting site. Those odds put her closer to the Democratic favourites to win in 2020.
While the shift in Gillibrand’s odds indicate that many bettors and oddsmakers alike see her as a more likely candidate, she is still not the favourite to win in 2020. Trump remains the most likely winner, with odds just below 2-to-1. Vice President Mike Pence currently sits at second place in betting markets, at 10-to-1 odds.
Among potential Democratic challengers, oddsmakers put Warren and Sen. Kamala Harris of California as the favourites to regain control of the White House, both at 13-to-1, with Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders following close behind at 16-to-1 odds.
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