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The second half of the year has begun, and any information that can shed more light on the health of the economy is welcome.One of the best leading indicators of the economy is the purchasing managers index (PMI). At the beginning of each month, Markit, HSBC, RBC, JP Morgan and several other major data gathering institutions publish the latest local readings of the manufacturing PMI for countries around the world.
“Collectively, these numbers will give investors a critical insight into the pace of June economic growth,” says JP Morgan’s Adam Crisafulli.
Each reading is based on surveys of hundreds of companies. From Markit:
PMIs are based on monthly surveys of carefully selected companies. These provide an advance indication of what is really happening in the private sector economy by tracking variables such as output, new orders, stock levels, employment and prices across the manufacturing, construction, retail and service sectors.
The PMI surveys are based on fact, not opinion, and are among the first indicators of economic conditions published each month. The data are collected using identical methods in all countries so that international comparisons may be made.
These are not the most closely followed data points. However, the power of the insights is unparalleled. Jim O’Neill, Chairman of Goldman Sachs Asset Management, believes the PMI numbers are among the most reliable economic indicators in the world.
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- China: Official PMI — 50.2, down from 50.4 in May
- Netherlands: NEVI Netherlands Manufacturing PMI — 48.9, up from 47.6 in May
- South Korea: HSBC South Korea Manufacturing PMI — 49.4, down from 51.0 in May
- Taiwan: HSBC Taiwan Manufacturing PMI — 49.2, down from 50.5 in May
- Vietnam: HSBC Vietnam PMI — 46.6, down from 48.3 in May
- China: HSBC China Manufacturing PMI — 48.2, down from 48.4 in May
- Indonesia: HSBC Indonesia Manufacturing PMI — 50.2, up from 48.1 in May
- India: HSBC India Manufacturing PMI — 55.0, up from 54.8 in May
- Russia: HSBC Russia Manufacturing PMI — 51.0, down from 53.2 in May
- Ireland: NCB Republic of Ireland Manufacturing PMI — 53.1, up from 51.2 in May
- Poland: HSBC Poland Manufacturing PMI — 48.0, down from 48.9 in May
- Turkey: HSBC Turkey Manufacturing PMI — 51.4, up from 50.2 in May
- Spain: Markit Spain Manufacturing PMI — 41.1, down from 42.0 in May
- Czech Republic: HSBC Czech Republic Manufacturing PMI — 49.4, up from 47.6 in May
- Italy: Markit / ADACI Italy Manufacturing PMI — 44.6, down from 44.8 in May
- France: Markit France Manufacturing PMI — 45.2, up from 44.7 in May
- Germany: Markit / BME Germany Manufacturing PMI — 45.0, down from 45.2 in May
- Greece: Markit Greece Manufacturing PMI — 40.1, down from 43.1 in May
- UK: Markit / CIPS UK Construction PMI — 48.6, up from 45.9 in May
- Australia: AiG and PwC PMI — 47.2, up from 42.4 in May
- Brazil: HSBC Brazil Manufacturing PMI — 9:00 AM EST, 49.3 in May
- US: Markit US Manufacturing PMI — 9:00 AM EST, 54.0 in May
- Mexico: HSBC Mexico Manufacturing PMI — 10:30 AM EST
- GLOBAL: JPMorgan Global Manufacturing PMI — 11:00 PM EST