The stock market is in the ‘8th inning’ before it runs into a correction, says Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel

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Traders work on the floor of the NYSE in New York Brendan McDermid/Reuters
  • Stocks are in the “eighth inning before a correction,” Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel told CNBC on Tuesday.
  • He made his projection as the S&P 500 has yet to run into a 5% pullback from its peak this year.
  • Siegel foresees tech stocks declining in response to the Fed’s likely tapering of asset purchases.
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The US stock market that’s sitting at record highs is moving closer to entering a correction period, but the downshift is necessary for the market to reach the next stage of the bull run, Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel said Tuesday on CNBC.

“I think we’re in the eighth inning before a correction,” Siegel said. “It is so hard to talk about the short run of the market. I don’t predict that this bull market is over yet,” he said.

“We’re getting close to where we’re going to have to get some of the slop out and reset and look forward,” said the renowned author of the investment book, “Stocks for the Long Run”.

A correction is widely considered a market decline of 10% or more from its most recent high.

The S&P 500 has scaled up by roughly 19% so far this year, propelled higher by robust corporate earnings growth and overall improvement in the world’s largest economy after it sank into a short but sharp recession last year stemming from the COVID-19 pandemic.

But this year, the S&P has yet to experience a drop of 5% or more from a peak, and the rare length of time to go without such a drawdown makes market experts like Seigel foresee a pullback.

The Fed appears on track by this fall to begin reducing the amount of bonds and mortgage-backed securities it purchases each month. In response, “tech is going to take the breather and those cyclical stocks that have been hammered, and those small-cap stocks that have been hammered, could come back as a result,” Siegel projected.