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The latest from Raymond James’ Jeff Saut strikes a nervous, but hopeful tone on the market…Investment Strategy – “1-800-GET-ME-OUT?!”
The call for this week: Friday was the first day of hurricane season here in Florida, yet the storm didn’t hit our beaches but rather blew onto the Street of Dreams with a 275-point “storm surge.” The media attributed Friday’s Flop entirely to the disappointing employment numbers, but the truth was the market was already headed down before the release of those numbers. And when the SPX’s 1290 level was breached, the rout was on. The result left all of the indexes we monitor near their lows of the day and the three major market indices (INDU, SPX, COMP) below their respective 200-DMAs for the first time in about five months. The bears will be quick to point out this is what happened right before the crashes of 1929 and 1987. However, the bullish argument is that over the past 20 years a break below the 200-DMA by the SPX, after it has stayed above it for 3 months, has typically led to a rally. And despite the break below my 1290 pivot point I can’t shake the feeling that all of this is just part of the bottoming process.
P.S. – I am on the road again this week seeing accounts and speaking at conferences.
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