Update: Baer, who made the claims several weeks ago, later walked back on his predictions, saying that he had no inside knowledge of Israeli or American deliberations on the subject. Also, Jeffrey Goldberg has written to say that there were two caveats to his claim last year that an Israeli attack on Iran was imminent. You can read our corrections in full here.
Robert Baer, a former CIA agent in the Middle East, predicted on a radio show today that Israel will bomb Iran’s nuclear facilities next month, before the Palestinians go to the United Nations for statehood recognition.
MJ Rosenberg of the Huffington Post writes that Baer “didn’t name sources for his prediction of an Israeli attack, but the few he did cite are all Israeli security figures” who have come out against such an attack, like former Mossad chief Meir Dagan, who has warned that an Israeli attack on Iran is both imminent and “stupid.”
Baer—whose memoir was the basis of the 2005 film Syriana, starring George Clooney—says that an Israeli attack on Iran would drag the United States into a massive, costly war in the Middle East. And the U.S. military, he alleged, is not opposed.
“There’s a standing order in the Pentagon” to prepare for war, he said, according to Rosenberg.
Pronouncements that an Israeli attack on Iran is imminent have been a constant in recent years, culminating in Jeffrey Goldberg’s soon-to-expire prediction from last summer that an attack would take place in the next 12 months. There’s no evidence to believe that Baer’s warning is any more prescient or authoritative than previous ones.
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