Obama won Dixville Notch, NH, by a 15-6 landslide. West Wing viewers may have been duped into thinking this is predictive, but it isn’t, says Nate Silver at Five 30 Eight.
Is Dixville Notch predictive? In a word: No. There’s no historical relationship between the performances of the two major-party candidates In Dixville Notch and their performances in the rest of New Hampshire — never mind the rest of the country…Still, you’d rather be up 15-6 than down, wouldn’t you?
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