If The Missing AirAsia Plane Crashed, 2014 Was One Of The Deadliest Years In Aviation In Almost A Decade

AirasiaRobertus Pudyanto/GettyAn Indonesia Search and Rescue officer inspects the operational air navigation map during the investigation of missing Air Asia QZ8501 at the crisis centre of Juanda International Airport Surabaya on December 28, 2014 in Surabaya, Indonesia.

Approximately 42-minutes after take off, the pilot of AirAsia’s flight QZ 8501 asked permission to climb to a higher altitude in order to avoid severe thunderstorms. His request was reportedly denied by Indonesian air-traffic controllers and the plane lost contact and disappeared without a distress call.

“Based on our coordinates, we predict that the plane is on the sea, for now it could be in the bottom of the sea,” Soelistyo, head of Indonesia’s search and rescue agency, told reporters when asked about the missing plane’s likely location.

Passengers included 155 Indonesians, 3 Koreans, and 1 person from Singapore, Britain, Malaysia, and France.

First Admiral Sigit Setiayana of the Surabaya Air Force base, said that 12 Navy ships, 5 planes, 3 helicopters and a number of warships were dispatched.

The US State Department has also offered to help contribute to the search. “Authorities in the region are leading the search for the missing aeroplane. As we have in the past, the United States stands ready to assist in any way that’s helpful,” the department said in a statement.

AirasiaSutanta Aditya/AFP/Getty ImagesAn official from Indonesia’s national search and rescue agency in Medan, North Sumatra points at his computer screen to the position where AirAsia flight QZ8501 went missing off the waters of Indonesia on December 28, 2014.

The loss of Indonesia AirAsia Flight QZ8501 would cap one of the deadliest years in civil aviation for almost a decade. The statistics underscore a year of tragic contrasts dominated by two Malaysian catastrophes and a handful of weather-related incidents, yet a record-low number of crashes.

Even before an Indonesia AirAsia Airbus 320 jet with 162 people on board went missing in bad weather on Sunday between the Indonesian city of Surabaya and Singapore, some 762 people had lost their lives in 7 fatal accidents this year.

If the Indonesian-registered aircraft is confirmed to have crashed killing all on board, the accident would make 2014 the worst year for loss of life in civil aviation since 2005, when 1,014 people were killed in passenger accidents, according to the Netherlands-based Aviation Safety Network.

But the number of fatal accidents in 2014 would stand at only eight, if Flight QZ8501 is included, compared with 24 in 2005. This would be the lowest in memory, reflecting the peculiar nature of this year’s disasters.

“Remarkably, 2014 has the lowest number for passenger flight accidents in modern aviation history,” said Harro Ranter, founder and director of Aviation Safety Network, which runs an independent database.

Air disasters chart reutersReutersWorst airline crashes with fatalities of 100 people or more. Updated with latest incident involving AirAsia QZ8501 which loses contact with air traffic control on Dec. 28.

A combined total of 537 people were on board Malaysian Airlines’ Flight MH370, which went missing on March 8 and has not been found, and Flight MH17 which was shot down over Ukraine on July 17.

More than 160 people lost their lives in two bad weather incidents in July: 48 when a Transasia Airways aircraft tried to land in Taiwan and 116 when a Swiftair jet operated by Air Algerie crashed in northern Mali.

Airlines and manufacturers contend that aviation is the safest form of transport amid improvements in aircraft design, training and infrastructure.

The International Air Transport Association, which represents about 250 airlines, said earlier this month that 2014 was among the safest when measured against the volume of traffic.

In 2009, according to IATA, there was one “hull loss” for every 1.5 million flights, which translates to 0.67 for every 1 million flights.

As of 30 September, the 2014 jet hull loss rate stood at 0.22 per million flights. The average rate for IATA members, which does not include most low-cost airlines, was 0.37 over the last five years, according to the Geneva-based organisation. Its figures only include Western-built jets.

However, safety authorities say accidents involving a loss of control, such as those which sometimes occur during severe weather, are nearly always catastrophic even though they are also rare.

In 2013, only three per cent of accidents involved a loss of control during flight, but these accounted for 60 per cent of that year’s fatalities, according to the U.N. International Civil Aviation Organisation. 

(Editing by Michael Perry)

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