LONDON — Damage caused by Hurricanes Irma and Harvey, and the forthcoming Jose, could cost Lloyd’s of London insurers £150 billion ($US200 billion).
Lloyd’s of London is a specialist insurance market where firms broker deals for the bulk of global insurance schemes relating to natural disasters.
Barrie Corne, an analyst at Panmure Gordon, said Lloyd’s insurers could face a bill could face a bill between £100 billion and £150 billion if Irma — which is still battering the Florida peninsula — envelops the Florida panhandle.
“Assuming that the damage is windstorm then I would expect the net retentions for the listed insurers to be at around £200 million or below, but there remains much uncertainty,” he told the Telegraph.
Cornes’ prediction echoes estimates from other analysts. Morgan Stanley said in a note on September 6 that losses could mount to at least $US100 billion.
“Investors fear that a major hurricane hitting the Miami area could lead to $US100bn-plus industry losses,” said equity analyst Kai Pan in the note.
According to another Telegraph report, Lloyd’s chief executive Inga Beale emailed insurance bosses on Sunday warning the payout could push up premium prices.
Premium insurance rates have fallen in recent years as investors flood money into insurance firms which offered good returns due to a lack of catastrophes.
If investors take that capital out of insurance firms, rates could rise.
Beale added that the market had built up big reserves which could absorb the recent round of hurricane payouts.