This Is Big Trouble For Obama: Hispanic And Black Voters Aren't Registering to Vote

Obama weight

Photo: AP

The Washington Post today digs into voter registration numbers that should leave the Barack Obama campaign a bit worried: among black and Hispanic voters — especially in key states and districts — voter registration is trending sharply down. Consider these numbers: Registration among Hispanics nationwide is down 5 per cent. But even more troubling is in key swing states like New Mexico and Florida, where registration is down 28 and 10 per cent, respectively. 

The decline in minority registration “is obviously an area of concern,” said Democratic strategist Simon Rosenberg, president of NDN, a left-leaning think tank.

But he predicted the Obama campaign “will have enough money and enough focus to mitigate the problem. . . . They have five months to get the electorate looking the way they want.”

But this is why the Obama campaign and Democrats should be severely concerned: According to that Pew Research centre survey, the 2008 electorate “was the most racially and ethnically diverse in U.S. history, with nearly one-in-four votes cast by non-whites.” 

Two important tables here. First:

Hispanic black voter registration

Photo: Pew Research centre

The voter registration for both black and Hispanic voters rose by a combined 7.6 per cent in the 2008 election. 

Now this:

attached image

Photo: Pew Research centre

That shows how voter registration affected turnout. And in overwhelming numbers, those voters picked Obama. He won the Latino vote 67 per cent to John McCain’s 30 per cent, and only 5 per cent of black voters picked McCain. 

But in a twist, this could also provide the Republican Party, led by its first national Director of Hispanic Outreach, Bettina Inclan, with an opportunity to pounce with its never-before-seen strategy to appeal for the Hispanic vote. 

“I think the more we talk about the issues and the more we have Republicans going into local communities and saying, ‘This is what Republicans believe in. This is what Democrats believe in,’ Hispanics are going to make decisions for themselves,” Inclan told Business Insider.

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