Here's What Makes GOP Debt Ceiling Chicken Especially Scary


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The debt ceiling fight is frequently characterised as a game of chicken, where two cars drive straight at each other, with one car expected to veer off the road at the last second.Even with the lack of progress on the talks, the assumption is that this is how it will go: One side (the GOP) will turn off the road at the last second and avoid default.

Except there is a wrinkle here: The GOP isn’t one driver who can just turn the steering will.

The GOP is over 300 house drivers, many of whom don’t trust the House leadership (John Boehner). Recall the hostility towards him after the budget deal this Spring failed to result in any real cuts.

So even if you assume that Boehner swerves, you can’t be sure that the rest of his caucus will swerve along with him.

And with some members of the GOP Senate talking about filibustering any deal that doesn’t involve a balanced budget amendment — a proposal that really is economically impossible, even with, say, the Paul Ryan budget — the odds of the full party working together and agreeing to something really does seem long.

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