Tech pundits are still weighing in on Google’s computerized glasses, Google Glass.
But getting a free version of a new gadget, or being rich enough that you can plunk down $1,500 for one, is very different from actually choosing to buy one as a normal person.
And that, for any new gadget, is where the rubber meets the road.
So what’s the current consensus for future Google Glass sales?
According to a poll we ran over the weekend, the consensus is that there really isn’t a consensus. The assessments, again, are all over the map.
If there is a bias, though, it’s to the negative. More people think Google Glass is going to flop that think it’s going to be a runaway hit.
Specifically, more than a quarter of people expect Google to sell less than a million units of Glass (or equivalent) in three years.
More than half expect Google to sell less than 8 million units a year.
Given the early excitement around the technology, both of those outcomes would be considered a flop.
Meanwhile, 14% of people think Google will sell more than 80 million units a year in three years.
That sales level would be a massive home run.
Here are the current results of the poll. You can cast your own vote here.