Gary Shilling: 25 Out Of The Last 27 Times Retail Sales Collapsed Like This We Were In A Recession

gary shilling

Photo: Bloomberg TV

Retail sales have been negative for three straight months. In June they fell 0.5 per cent.And Gary Shilling, told Bloomberg TV that the U.S. economy is already in a recession and that the retail sales numbers signal a recession:

“You look at retail sales there were negative for three consecutive months, April, May, June. That’s happened only 27 times there were first reported in 1947 and in 25 of the 27 it was in a recession or within three months of a recession.”

Shilling said consumer confidence is low, the employment situation has been weak, and wage increases have been weak. This recession he said is being driven by consumer retrenchment.

Watch the entire interview at Bloomberg TV:

Don’t Miss: The 13 People Who Are Destroying The Global Economy >

NOW WATCH: Money & Markets videos

Want to read a more in-depth view on the trends influencing Australian business and the global economy? BI / Research is designed to help executives and industry leaders understand the major challenges and opportunities for industry, technology, strategy and the economy in the future. Sign up for free at