Photo: Courtesy of CNN
The race for victory in the first-in-the-nation Iowa Caucuses on January 3 is up for grabs, according to a new Bloomberg poll — with the race currently in a four way tie.Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, Rep. Ron Paul, former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich and, Herman Cain all poll within three points — within the 4.4 point margin of error.
Fully 60 per cent of likely caucus-goers said they could still change their mind — a cause of the recent swings in the polls.
Texas Gov. Rick Perry and Rep. Michele Bachmann poll at seven per cent and five per cent, respectively — a remarkable fall for two candidates who led polls in the state earlier this cycle.
Because Iowa is a caucus state, polls don’t necessarily predict the outcome of the nominating race — but they point to the level of enthusiasm for a candidate that is crucial in the public voting process.
The poll provides no evidence of a surge by former Sen. Rick Santorum, who despite visiting all 99 of the state’s counties, polls at just 3 per cent.
A close election would help Romney — who doesn’t need to win Iowa with his strong base of support in New Hampshire — because it keeps any of the other candidates from leaving the early state with an overwhelming victory.
A narrow loss in Iowa, coupled with an overwhelming win in New Hampshire would leave Romney poised to lock up the GOP nomination in South Carolina and Florida.
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