Donald Trump threatens to make Republicans' worst nightmare come true

Real-estate developer Donald Trump would increasingly consider a third-party presidential campaign if the GOP establishment treats him unfairly, he told The Hill in a Wednesday interview.

“I’ll have to see how I’m being treated by the Republicans,” Trump said. “Absolutely, if they’re not fair, that would be a factor.”

The Republican businessman, who is currently leading most national polls, is under attack from many leaders in his own party who view his candidacy as a side-show that could harm the GOP brand.

But as The New York Times previously reported, what some party higher-ups fear most is Trump launching a third-party campaign that could pull more votes from the Republican nominee than the Democrat in the general election.

“You’ve got to keep him in the tent,” former Rep. Tom Davis (R-Virginia) told the newspaper. “He just wreaks havoc, and every vote he takes comes out of our hide.”

A poll released earlier in this week might confirm that fear. Testing a hypothetical three-way match-up among Trump, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (R), and Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton, a Washington Post/ABC survey found Clinton (46%) easily ahead of Bush (30%) and Trump (20%).

Trump, speaking to The Hill about a potential third-party bid, singled out the Republican National Committee in particular for being unfair to him.

“The RNC has not been supportive. They were always supportive when I was a contributor. I was their fair-haired boy,” Trump said. “The RNC has been, I think, very foolish.”

The RNC criticised Trump last weekend after he initially panned Sen. John McCain’s (R-Arizona) war record. Trump said McCain is “not a war hero” before reversing himself and repeatedly saying the opposite. McCain’s plane was shot down during the Vietnam War and spent over five years in captivity.

“There is no place in our party or our country for comments that disparage those who have served honorably,” an RNC spokesman said in a statement.

AP/Doug MillsThen-Democratic nominee Bill Clinton, left, shakes hands with independent candidate Ross Perot, right, as President George Bush, center, looks on, prior to a 1992 presidential debate.

The possibility of a third-party Trump campaign reminds some GOP leaders of Ross Perot, the Texas billionaire who ran two independent White House bids in 1992 and 1996. Perot’s first candidacy is often blamed for damaging President George H.W. Bush’s reelection campaign and letting Bill Clinton win with a mere plurality of the vote.

“Perot’s intensely nationalist and protectionist politics resonated with a lot of center-right voters that otherwise would have voted Republican,” Dan Senor, an adviser on 2012 GOP nominee Mitt Romney’s campaign, told The Times. “And the environment today is even more intensely populist. If Trump were to run as an independent, who knows what impact he could have in what will otherwise be a close election?”

Trump has also blamed Perot’s candidacy for Clinton’s 1992 win, and the real-estate developer previously appeared concerned that he could do the same for Hillary Clinton.

“I think every single vote that went to Ross Perot came from Bush,” Trump told The Washington Examiner. “Virtually every one of his 19 percentage points came from the Republicans. If Ross Perot didn’t run, you have never heard of Bill Clinton.”

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