Earlier this week we took a look at which teams have the inside track to the College Football Playoff and now a projection from Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight.com seems to confirm one big takeaway — The Big 12, Pac-12, and ACC conferences are in big trouble.
With five power conferences and four spots available, it is already guaranteed that one conference will be left without a chair when the music stops. But this year, it could be more. The SEC is going to have a strong case for having both Alabama and Georgia in the playoff, assuming the only loss between the two comes in their likely conference championship game showdown. Similarly, the Big Ten has three teams ranked among the top six and Wisconsin will likely face one of the others in the Big Ten title game.
Furthermore, Notre Dame still has a legit shot to make the playoff. If they win all their remaining games, their only blemish would be a close loss to one of the top teams in college football, Georgia. If the Irish get in, that’s yet another conference that would not. It is not far-fetched to imagine a scenario where the playoff includes Notre Dame and the other three spots coming from the SEC and Big Ten.
Here are all the teams that still have at least a 10% chance to make the playoff.
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