The English Premier League returns this week but for 15 of the 20 teams the season may already be over.
Bloomberg Sports has released its 2014-15 projections for all teams in the Premier League.
If we consider 5% as the cutoff for clubs to have any realistic shot, only five teams have a shot at finishing on top of the table, with Manchester City (38.7% to finish first) and Chelsea (38.4%) as the overwhelming favourites.
Meanwhile, seven clubs have at least a 10% chance to finish in the top four and qualify for the Champions League, including Everton (13.1%), led by American goalkeeper Tim Howard. The other 13 teams all have at least an 8.6% of finishing in the bottom three and being relegated out of the Premier League.
The projections are “uniquely data-driven and take into account numerous years of performance for each club, supplemented by the additional value that each club gained from the transfer window.”
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